Blog 24:  I have an idea but find myself faced with too many ideas . . . so I have no idea.  Using Roko’s Grid to overcome the paradox of choice. 

cartoon image showing man faced with tree image of many choices
©Inside Retail

Do you find yourself stuck in a decision-making loop?  You need to make a decision, but which one?  And the more choices the harder it seems to be.  We lose the capacity to focus on action as we are stuck deciding which idea, which choice.  This blog aims to provide you with a tool when faced with multiple courses of action  . . . Roko’s Grid.  Roko’s Grid is named after a Fijian friend who provided me this tool when i was struggling with filtering ideas.  Friends would joke that i have an idea every kilometre, but only a good one every thousand.  i needed a tool to focus my thinking and work on the concepts that would make the greatest impact.  Enter Roko’s Grid. 

But before we unpack Roko’s Grid, let’s unpack the Paradox of Choice.  This graph pretty much sums things up:

graph showing chances of getting something done against choices
©New York Times

Faced with many choices, it can be difficult to make a decision.  Things are easier where there are only two or three options.  The more choices presented, the more challenging decision making can be.  It becomes a tyranny of choice. 

Positive Psychology puts it like this:

You would think that having more options would increase the chances of finding something you really want and to be satisfied with your choice. But in fact, the opposite seems to be true. The paradox is that having more choices can send you into overwhelm and have a negative impact on your wellbeing.

Positive Psychology Training

Know this feeling?

man looking at too many lettuce options in supermarket
dog trying to decide which of 5 coloured balls to play with
©New York Times 
©J2 Solutions

Barry Schwartz book Paradox of Choice addresses this issue and offers a way out of the paralysis that can occur through providing a series of steps as a decision-making process.  Those steps are:

  1. Figure out your goal or goals.
  2. Evaluate the importance of each goal.
  3. Array the options.
  4. Evaluate how likely each of the options is to meet your goals.
  5. Pick the winning option.
  6. Modify goals.
Paradox of Choice  book by Barry Schwartz
Schwartz, Barry (2004). The Paradox Of Choice. New York, United States: Harper Perennial.

Essentially Roko’s Grid is a filtering tool.  It provides an instrument you can use to implement Schwartz’ steps.  Specifically designed to ascertain which idea you run with; the tool allows you to use math to clarify the best option.  As has been a theme in the caddying blogs – let math speak. 

Let’s say you are confronted with three ideas.  Which one is best?  As demonstrated in the table below, score each idea on a five-point scale for each of; the probability you can implement the idea, the impact on your organization (or to you personally) and the cost to implement.

Probability you can pull it offImpact on the organisationCost to implement the idea (high cost = low number)Total
Idea 14329
Idea 24 (lowest cost)13
Idea 325 (greatest impact)310
Roko’s Grid in Action

Idea #2 wins.  It is the most likely to be achieved, has the second greatest impact on the organization and lowest cost.  In contrast, idea #3 will have the greatest impact on the organization but is least likely to be achieved.  Maybe with time, factors will change and this idea may increase in probability.  Idea #1 is achievable but has a low impact on the organization and is the most expensive to implement.  Can you see the way Roko’s Grid provides a tool to let math speak and clarify the decision process?

And having the grid on paper (or computer) helps you to objectively look at the options against each other. 

So thanks to Roko the countless ideas that cross my brain can be filtered, the best ones identified and my thoughts can be focused on implementation, rather than scattered and finding myself in indecision loops.

Try implementing the grid with a decision or series of ideas you are faced with at the moment.  The implementation of the tool works best with regular application.

. . . to better decisions that make a great impact on your desired outcomes.

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